Analysis of Cancer Incidence and Mortality in Iran Using Joinpoint Regression Analysis

Analysis of Cancer Incidence and Mortality in Iran Using Joinpoint Regression Analysis


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نویسندگان: شهلا قنبری , گوهر محمدی , محمداسماعیل اکبری , علی قنبری مطلق , یداله محرابی , محمد حیدری

کلمات کلیدی: Neoplasm, Incidence, Mortality, Trends, Joinpoint Regression, Iran

نشریه: Iranian Red Crescent Medical Journal, 3,19,1 - 8,2017

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کد مقاله 66010502
عنوان فارسی مقاله Analysis of Cancer Incidence and Mortality in Iran Using Joinpoint Regression Analysis
عنوان لاتین مقاله Analysis of Cancer Incidence and Mortality in Iran Using Joinpoint Regression Analysis
نوع مقاله اصیل پژوهشی - Original Article
نحوه ایندکس شدن مقاله Science Sitation Index Expanded -ISI - Web of Science
IF 0.676
عنوان نشریه Iranian Red Crescent Medical Journal
نوع نشریه داخلی نمایه شده
شماره نشریه 3
دوره 19
صفحه شروع و پایان در نشریه 1 - 8
سال انتشار/ ارائه شمسی 1395
سال انتشار/ارائه میلادی 2017
آدرس لینک مقاله/ همایش در شبکه اینترنت https://www.scopus.com/record/display.uri?eid=2-s2.0-85016984528&origin=resultslist&sort=plf-f&src=s&st1=Analysis+of+Cancer+Inci
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آدرس علمی (Affiliation) نویسنده متقاضی Cancer Research Center, Shahid Beheshti University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran

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Abstract Background: It is important to be able to predict cancer incidence and mortality rates for planning and managing the risk factors. Objectives: The present study investigated the changes in the incidence and mortality rates of five most common cancers in Iran. Methods: The cancer incidence and mortality data were obtained from the national cancer and mortality registries. Five most common cancers in both men and women were selected. Changes in the incidence and mortality rates of the selected cancers in both sexes were estimated by age group, annual percent change (APC), and average APC (AAPC) and then graphically displayed. Results: The most common cancers (except skin cancer) were breast, colorectal, stomach, esophageal, and thyroid cancers in women and stomach, prostate, bladder, colorectal, and esophageal cancers in men, respectively. The AAPCs of all cancer incidence rates had increased by 11.9% in men and 11.6% in women from 2002 to 2010. Also, the mortality rates had enhanced by 0.4% and 0.1% per year in men and women from 2006 to 2011, respectively. The greatest APC was reported in prostate cancer. The rate had increased by 41.9% from 2002 to 2004, by 13.4% from 2004 to 2008, and slowly augmented by 3.9% from 2008 to 2010. In women, the greatest APC was observed in colorectal cancer; the rate had enhanced by 13.4% per year from 2002 to 2010. The greatest increase for age-standardized mortality and incidence in 2011 was attributed to gastric cancer (12.5% and 17.1% per 100,000 men, respectively). In women, the highest age-standardized mortality rate was related to gastric cancer at 6.9% per 100,000 women. The incidence and mortality patterns of colorectal and esophageal cancers in men and women were similar, although they were slightly higher in men than women. Conclusions: Overall, cancer incidence rates had increased in both sexes. Many factors were responsible, such as changes in lifestyle, environmental factors, increased life expectancy, improvements in the registration systems, and declining mortality rates due to early detection and treatment. The results of this study provided useful information for the prediction of changes in the incidence and mortality of cancer and subsequent design of cancer control programs in Iran.

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نویسنده نفر چندم مقاله
شهلا قنبریششم
گوهر محمدیاول
محمداسماعیل اکبریدوم
علی قنبری مطلقچهارم
یداله محرابیسوم
محمد حیدریپنجم

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